I'm having a thought...

I have a few theories I'm tossing around in my head. I've done no research. The first is that al Sadr was sitting in a three month meeting with Al Quaida leaders and Iranian power brokers and such. They came to the conclusion that would have kept Hitler in power, had he been smart enough to think it. The American war machine can outproduce any country around. If they were to stop fighting the war machine we would have to stop fighting them. We are the good guys, right ? Politically, they would gain all the allies in the world if the killing stops. Looks so much better on CNN than bodies. So then the anti war Americans gain footing. The people teetering on the fence fall on to their side. And I think even a few proponents of the war would go over. We'd eventually have to pull out. Regardless of what happened after the withdrawal, we would never have the political juice to go back in, even if it was George Senior at the helm instead of the second string. The bad guys would reign supreme and have freedom of movement toward whatever end they saw fit.
The second idea would give all the conspiracy theorists a mental erection. Think of it. We can't win there short of extending the war to Syria and Iran. As much as it would further greatly the war on terror, America's leaders have dragged their feet too long. Our only other option that would save face is to create conditions that on the surface are pleasing to the American people, i.e. something resembling peace and democracy. So the spooks grab al Sadr. We don't debrief him or hurt him in any way as we need him for the plan to work. We tell him we want the fighting to stop. If that happens, we'll pull out. We convince him of our sincerity by NOT killing or torturing him. We tell him to have his people switch to peaceful protest so that George saves face and the American people can buy it as something resembling a victory. We tell him we don't care what happens afterward, just do this and we'll leave. Seeing a way to get the war off his turf and back on to ours (through terrorist cels and what have you ) al Sadr agrees. Who knows, maybe like the Viet Cong of old al Sadr's forces are starting to dwindle. Maybe he has an ounce of humanitarian in him and doesn't like seeing all his people die. Or maybe he sees this as a quick victory that will allow him to get on with his true aims in life. I'm thinking about it.....